| The steady growth of the Catholic Church
worldwide The Annuarium Statisticum Ecclesiae of
2004, compiled by the Central Office for Statistics of the Church and
published by the Vatican Publishing House, has recently been presented.
In comparison with the Annuario Pontificio, in which precedence is
given to names and biographies, the Annuario Statistico shows the
principal trends that mark the pastoral activity of the Catholic Church
in the different countries and various continents.
The tables of statistics, with graphics, are completed by captions in
Latin, English and French.
The following is a concise quantitative analysis of the structural
changes that have taken place in the pastoral activity of the Catholic
Church from 1978 to 2004.
Catholics worldwide
From 1978 to 2004, there was a rapid increase in the number of
Catholics in the world by more than 45 percent. In the same period, they
rose from almost 757 million to 1.098 billion, with an overall increase
of about 342 million faithful (Table 1).
Table 1
-
Catholics in 1978, 1988 and 2004: geographical distribution per 100
inhabitants
— variations
over the period
|
CONTINENT |
Catholic Faithful (Baptized) |
|
In thousands |
Per 100 of the total |
Per 100 inhabitants |
Percent of
variation
1978-2004 |
|
1978 |
1988 |
2004 |
1978 |
1988 |
2004 |
1978 |
1988 |
2004 |
|
AFRICA |
54,759 |
81,883 |
148,817 |
7.24 |
9.13 |
13.55 |
12.37 |
13.41 |
16.97 |
171.77 |
|
AMERICA |
366,614 |
444,422 |
548,756 |
48.46 |
49.55 |
48.96 |
62.22 |
63.50 |
62.34 |
49.68 |
|
ASIA |
63,183 |
84,302 |
113,489 |
8.35 |
9.40 |
10.33 |
2.53 |
2.78 |
2.91 |
79.62 |
|
EUROPE |
266,361 |
279,401 |
278,736 |
35.21 |
31.15 |
25.38 |
40.53 |
41.14 |
39.54 |
4.65 |
|
OCEANIA |
5,616 |
6,870 |
8,568 |
0.74 |
0.77 |
0.78 |
25.30 |
26.83 |
26.24 |
52.56 |
|
WORLD |
756,533 |
896,878 |
1,098,366 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
17.99 |
17.77 |
17.19 |
45.18 |
This figure, however, looks less impressive when compared with
the demographic growth worldwide in the same period that increased
from 4.2 billion to 6.4 billion.
Indeed, a slight decrease in the incidence of Catholics across
the world can be noted, from almost 18 percent to just over 17
percent. However, these figures sum up situations that differ widely
from one continent to another.
In Europe, the visibly stationary situation recorded can be
ascribed mainly to the Old Continent's well-known static demographic
situation: a sharp decline in its population, currently stable, is
forecast for the coming decades. The number of baptized faithful in
2004, slightly less than in 2003, totaled almost 280 million, a
little more than 12 million in comparison with 1978 and slightly
less in comparison with 1988.
In relative terms too, the number of European Catholics per 100
inhabitants has remained virtually the same: it has fallen from 40.5
to 39.5.
The situation in Africa, where the number of Catholics has almost
tripled, is definitely more dynamic. In 1978 they numbered about 55
million and in 2004 their number had risen to almost 149 million.
This trend can be ascribed only in part to strictly demographic
factors. It reflects an effective increase in the number of baptized
faithful. In fact, Catholics who accounted for 12.4 percent of the
African population in 1978, 26 years later represented almost 17
percent.
Intermediate situations between those described above are
recorded in America and in Asia, where the numbers of faithful have
increased considerably (49.7 percent and 79.6 percent respectively).
However, this can be explained by the demographic increase recorded
in the same period.
In relative terms, American faithful account for a stable 62
percent of the population, whereas in Asia, the incidence of
Catholics increased from 2.5 percent to just under 3 percent in
2004.
The incidence of baptized persons per 100 inhabitants in Oceania
is stable even though much lower figures are involved.
Over and above the different demographic dynamics, there is
obvious confirmation of the growth of Catholics on the African
Continent (here Catholic faithful have increased from 7 percent to
more than 13.5 percent of the number in the world), and of the
conspicuous fall in the number of Catholics on the European
Continent, where the percentage of Catholic faithful of the world
total fell from 35 percent in 1978 to 25.4 percent in 2004.
America's position as a Continent to which almost half the
world's faithful belong was consolidated.
Bishops worldwide
The number of Bishops in the world increased between 1978 and
2004 by more than 28 percent, rising from 3,714 to 4,784 (Table 2),
with a very marked increase in Africa (+45.8 percent), in Oceania
(+34 percent) and in Asia (+31.4 percent), whereas in America (+27.2
percent) and in Europe (+23.3 percent) the figures were below
average.
In the face of these different dynamics, however, the
distribution of Bishops per continent remained substantially stable
in the period under review, with a greater concentration of the
total number in America and in Europe.
In Africa too, where the number of Bishops started to increase
noticeably, the number of Bishops out of the world total rose
slightly from 11.6 percent in 1978 to 13.2 percent in 2004.
Table 2
-
Bishops in 1978, 1988 and 2004: their geographical distribution and
variations over the period
CONTINENT |
Bishops |
Percentage
of variation
1978-2004 |
|
Number |
Per 100 of the total |
|
1978 |
1988 |
2004 |
1978 |
1988 |
2004
|
|
AFRICA |
432 |
487 |
630 |
11.63 |
11.80 |
13.17 |
45.83 |
|
AMERICA |
1,416 |
1,589 |
1,801 |
38.13 |
37.51 |
37.64 |
27.19 |
|
ASIA |
519 |
578 |
682 |
13.97 |
14.01 |
14.26 |
31.41 |
|
EUROPE |
1,253 |
1,365 |
1,545 |
33.74 |
33.09 |
32.30 |
23.30 |
|
OCEANIA |
94 |
107 |
126 |
2.53 |
2.59 |
2.63 |
34.04 |
|
WORLD |
3,714 |
4,126 |
4,784 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
28.81 |
Attention should be drawn to the ageing of Bishops.
Their average age has increased by more than five years across
the world in the period under review, rising from 62 to 67.4 years
(a slight ageing with respect to the previous year).
This increase is noticeable especially in Africa (+6.8 years,
with an average age in 2004 of 63.6 years), Oceania (+6.8, to 67
years) and America (+6.7, to 67.8 years), whereas Europe, which
continues to be in the lead with an average age of over 69, has
shown a more contained dynamic.
The most important statistic, however, concerns the increase in
the number of over-65-year-olds out of the total. On average they
increased from 39 percent to 59 percent in 2004, more than doubling
their numbers in Africa (from 22 percent to 46 percent) and
increasing consistently also in Oceania and America.
Lastly, in Europe, the number of Bishops who have reached 65
years of age represent 64 percent of the total (compared with 51
percent in 1978).
Priests worldwide
Compared with the increase in the number of Bishops across the
world in the period 1978-2004, the statistics for the number of
priests overall were rather disappointing, with a decrease of more
than 3.5 percent (from about 421,000 to less than 406,000),
concentrated in the first part of the specimen period (Table 3).
In point of fact, the number of priests decreased overall by more
than 15,000 in 1988. It subsequently stabilized and growth has been
recorded in the last decade.
With a counter trend in comparison with the world average, the
increase in the number of priests in Africa and Asia is quite
comforting, with +85 percent and +74 percent respectively (and with
an increase of more than 2,000 only since 2003).
In America, on the other hand, the situation is static, with on
average about 120,000 priests.
Finally, Europe and Oceania, which account for the decline in
priests across the globe, showed a decrease in 2004 of more than 20
percent and of almost 14 percent, respectively.
If diocesan priests and religious priests are counted separately,
the results are very different. Whereas the number of diocesan
priests, after falling to a minimum of 257,000 in 1988 compared with
262,000 in 1978, recorded a slight but important recovery (rising to
more than 268,000), the number of religious priests showed a
constantly downward trend throughout the period under examination
(with an overall decrease of more than 13 percent, or a decrease of
20,000).
Moving on to an analysis by continent, it can be noted that
religious priests have diminished in number on all the continents
(-23.9 percent in Oceania, -20 percent approximately in Europe, -19
percent in America and -4.5 percent in Africa), with the exception
of Asia, where from 14,000 they have increased to more than 19,000.
It must be noted, on the other hand, that the decrease recorded
for the African Continent, after a reduction of more than 1,300 in
1988, showed a slight recovery of about 8 percent in the second part
of the period under discussion.
The very slight increase in the total number of diocesan priests
is instead exclusively ascribable to the rapid expansion of the
presence of diocesan priests in Africa (where the number of diocesan
priests more than tripled between 1978 and 2004), in Asia (where it
has doubled), and in America. On the contrary, figures for Oceania
and especially for Europe showed a sharp fall.
With regard to the number of priests overall, great changes can
be noted on at least two continents.
In Africa, if there were twice as many religious priests as
diocesan priests at the beginning of the period, in 2004 there were
only slightly more than half the number of diocesan priests.
In Asia, however, in 1978 the two categories were equally
represented; but 26 years later, there were over 40 percent more
diocesan than religious priests.
The percentage distribution of priests per continent also shows
considerable changes during the 26 years under examination.
Table 3 -
Diocesan or Religious priests in 1978, 1988 and 2004 per continent:
variations over the period
|
CONTINENT
|
Priests |
|
1978 |
1988 |
2004 |
Percent variation 1978-2004 |
|
Diocesan |
Religious |
Total
|
Diocesan |
Religious |
Total |
Diocesan |
Religious
|
Total |
Diocesan |
Religious |
Total |
|
AFRICA |
5,507 |
11,419 |
16,926 |
9,184 |
10,085 |
19,269 |
20,358 |
10,901 |
31,259 |
269.67 |
-4.54 |
84.68 |
|
AMERICA |
66,084 |
54,187 |
120,271 |
68,414 |
50,989 |
119,403 |
77,756 |
43,878 |
121,634 |
17.66 |
-19.02 |
1.13 |
|
ASIA |
13,863 |
13,837 |
27,700 |
17,789 |
14,502 |
32,291 |
28,497 |
19,725 |
48,222 |
105.56 |
42.55 |
74.09 |
|
EUROPE |
174,175 |
76,323 |
250,498 |
159,033 |
69,413 |
228,446 |
139,494 |
60,484 |
199,978 |
-19.91 |
-20.75 |
-20.17 |
|
OCEANIA |
2,856 |
2,720 |
5,576 |
2,779 |
2,669 |
5,448 |
2,728 |
2,070 |
4,798 |
-4.48 |
-23.90 |
-13.95 |
|
WORLD |
262,485 |
158,486 |
420,971 |
257,199 |
147,658 |
404,857 |
268,833 |
137,058 |
405,891 |
2.42 |
-13.52 |
-3.58 |
Although Europe has retained the greatest number of priests, the
number of priests out of the total has decreased considerably
over time: in 1978, the more than 250,000 priests represented
almost 60 percent of the total of this group of clergy, while 26
years later, their number had fallen to less than half, not
above 50 percent. This is due in particular to the plummeting
number of diocesan priests who are now outnumbered by religious
priests.
Africa and Asia, on the contrary, have gained ground,
attaining overall more than 19 percent of the world total of
10.6 percent in 1978, thanks in particular to the increase in
the number of diocesan priests on both continents.
America has continued to maintain about 30 percent, with a
slight but continuous increase of its percentage, whereas
Oceania continues to be relatively stable, with not much more
than 1 percent.
The numbers of the other agents who support the pastoral work
of the Bishops and priests
—
permanent deacons, professed men religious who are not priests
and professed women religious
—
differ widely.
Deacons and Religious
In 2004, there were more than 32,000 permanent deacons and
more than 55,000 non-ordained professed men religious. Women
religious, who numbered 767,000 were far more numerous. The
dynamics of development in the three groups are very
different.
The number of permanent deacons, diocesan and religious, is
rapidly increasing, both across the world and on the individual
continents. Overall, it has risen from about 5,500 in 1978 to
more than 32,000 26 years later, with an increase of more than
480 percent (Table 4).
Table 4 – Permanent deacons in 1978, 1988, and 2004:
Their geographical distribution and variations over the period
|
Permanent
deacons (diocesan and religious) |
CONTINENT |
Number |
Per 100 of
the total |
Percentage
of variation
1978-2004 |
|
1978 |
1988 |
2004 |
1978 |
1988
|
2004 |
|
AFRICA |
91 |
235 |
368 |
1.64 |
1.50 |
1.14 |
304.40 |
|
AMERICA |
4,239 |
11,489 |
21,067 |
76.21 |
73.24 |
65.17 |
396.98 |
|
ASIA |
52 |
81 |
148 |
0.93 |
0.52 |
0.46 |
184.62 |
|
EUROPE |
1,133 |
3,781 |
10,528 |
20.37 |
24.10 |
32.57 |
829.21 |
|
OCEANIA |
47 |
100 |
213 |
0.85 |
0.64 |
0.66 |
353.19 |
|
WORLD |
5,562 |
1 5,686 |
32,324 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
481.16 |
|
The largest numbers and the most vigorous trend in development
are being recorded in Europe and America.
In Europe, there were just over 1,000 deacons in 1978 and in
2004 there were more than 10,000, with an increase of more than
800 percent in 26 years.
In America, there were more than 4,000 permanent deacons at
the beginning of the period (almost three quarters of the total
number across the globe), and in 2004 they already numbered more
than 20,000.
More than 97 percent of the total number of deacons in the
world are to be found on these two continents alone. The rest
are distributed in Africa, Asia and Oceania.
The number of non-ordained professed religious has been
steadily falling; it decreased by more than 27 percent between
1978 and 2004 and by 15 percent from 1988 (Table 5).
|
Table 5 - Professed Religious (non-priests) in
1978, 1988, and 2004:
their geographical distribution and numerical variations
|
CONTINENT |
Professed
religious non-priests |
|
Number
|
Per 100
of the total
|
Percentage
of variation
1978-2004 |
|
1978 |
1988 |
2004 |
1978 |
1988 |
2004 |
|
AFRICA |
5,248 |
5,495 |
7,791 |
6.92 |
8.50 |
14.16 |
48.46 |
|
AMERICA |
23,747 |
19,516 |
16,587 |
31.33 |
30.17 |
30.14 |
-30.15 |
|
ASIA |
6,508 |
6,391 |
9,028 |
8.59 |
9.88 |
16.40 |
38.72 |
|
EUROPE |
37,104 |
30,681 |
19,942 |
48.95 |
47.43 |
36.24 |
-46.25 |
|
OCEANIA |
3,195 |
2,603 |
1,682 |
4.21 |
4.02 |
3.06 |
-47.36 |
|
WORLD |
75,802 |
64,686 |
55,030 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
-27.40 |
In 1978, they numbered more than 75,000 worldwide, there were
fewer than 65,000 of them in 1988, and in 2004, only slightly
more than 55,000.This downward trend is common to the various
continents with the exception of Africa and Asia, where they
have increased by 48 percent and 39 percent respectively. In
2004, they represented overall more than 30 percent of the total
(from less than half in 1978).
On the other hand, the group constituted by Europe (-46
percent), America (-30 percent) and Oceania (-47 percent), was
almost halved during the period under examination.
There is also a sharp downward trend in the number of
professed women religious, with a decrease of more than 22
percent in the specimen period (Table 6).
|
Table 6 - Professed religious in 1978, 1988 and 2004:
their geographical distribution and numerical variations
CONTINENT |
Professed
women religious |
|
Number |
Per 100 of the total |
Percentage
of variation
1978-2004 |
|
1978 |
1988 |
2004 |
1978 |
1988 |
2004 |
|
AFRICA |
35,473 |
40,789 |
57,475 |
3.58 |
4.53 |
7.49 |
62.02 |
|
AMERICA |
300,489 |
269,967 |
219,274 |
30.33 |
30.01 |
28.57 |
-27.03 |
|
ASIA |
91,585 |
109,540 |
150,736 |
9.24 |
12.18 |
19.64 |
64.59 |
|
EUROPE |
546,029 |
465,273 |
329,898 |
55.11 |
51.72 |
42.99 |
-39.58 |
|
OCEANIA |
17,192 |
14,075 |
10,076 |
1.74 |
1.56 |
1.31 |
-41.39 |
|
WORLD |
990,768 |
899,644 |
764,459 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
-22.54 |
The overall number of women religious, in fact, has steadily
fallen from over 990,000 in 1978 to less than 770,000 26 years
later. Also in this case, the decline concerned three continents
(Oceania, Europe and America) with substantial decreases (-41
percent in Oceania, -39 percent in Europe and -27 percent in
America).In Africa and Asia, on the other hand, there was a
steady increase in the number of women religious, who increased
by more than 60 percent on both continents. Consequently, the
percentage of women religious in Africa and Asia has grown from
13 percent to about 27 percent of the world total, to the
detriment of Europe and America, where their overall incidence
has fallen from 87 percent to 73 percent.
Vocations worldwide
The potential for the renewal of pastoral activity depends on
a series of factors. The most important is the number of
priestly vocations, that is, of candidates to the priesthood,
roughly calculated according to the number of students of
philosophy and theology attending diocesan and religious
seminaries (Table 7).
The overall annual statistics of the number of candidates to
the priesthood, diocesan and religious, show a marked upward
trend for the total period.
Candidates across the world rose from almost 64,000 in 1978
to more than 113,000 in 2004, with an increase of about 77
percent. The figures were very different on the various
continents.
Whereas Africa, America and Asia showed extremely lively
dynamics, Europe recorded a decrease of about 2 percent in the
same period.
Consequently, a re-dimensioning of the role of the European
Continent in the potential growth of the renewal of priests is
observed, with a figure that has fallen from 37 percent to 20
percent, compared with the growth in Africa (the number of
priests quadrupled in the 26 years under consideration), America
and Asia, which in 2004 represented 78 percent overall of the
world total (20 percent, 32 percent, and 26 percent,
respectively).
The European dynamic in absolute terms can be divided into
three distinct periods: growth (24,000 to 30,000) from 1978 to
1985; a period of stability until 1994-95; and finally, a sharp
decline that brought the 2004 figures to approximately what they
had been 26 years earlier.
America experienced a fairly steady increase in the number of
candidates to the priesthood up to 1998: it was subsequently
consolidated at around 36,000 to 37,000.
The number of candidates in Africa and Asia is steadily
increasing, although the growth rate has slowed in recent years.
In relative terms, with regard to the number of Catholics,
greater dynamism was recorded in Asia and Africa, with more than
150 candidates to the priesthood per million faithful in Africa
in 2004 and about 257 per million in Asia.
The figures for Europe (84) and for America (67),
considerably less than those in 2003 and on the decline,
indicate a decrease in the ability to provide for the needs of
pastoral service.
Finally, by comparing the number of major seminarians per 100
priests, it is possible to form an idea of the potential for the
renewal of effective pastoral service down the generations.
Africa and Asia are also in the lead in this realm with more
than 72 and 60 candidates respectively, whereas Europe had less
than 12 candidates per every 100 priests in 2004, confirming a
period of stagnation in vocations to the priesthood (which have
increased by only 2 since 1978).
At a global level, however, from 15 candidates to the
priesthood per 100 in 1978, the number rose to just short of 28
in 2004, largely thanks to the contributions of Asia and Africa. |
Table 7 - Candidates to the priesthood in 1978, 1988 and 2004: their
geographical distribution,
variations over the period, indication of priestly
vocations
|
CONTINENT
|
Candidates
to the priesthood |
|
Number |
Per 100 of the total |
Percent variation
1978-2004 |
Per one million Catholics |
Per 100 priests |
|
1978 |
1988 |
2004 |
1978 |
1988 |
2004 |
1978 |
1988 |
2004 |
1978 |
1988 |
2004 |
|
AFRICA |
5,636 |
12,636 |
22,791 |
8.82 |
13.42 |
20.16 |
304.38 |
102.92 |
154.32 |
153.15 |
33.30 |
65.58 |
72.91 |
|
AMERICA |
22,011 |
31,010 |
36,681 |
34.45 |
32.94 |
32.45 |
66.65 |
60.04 |
69.78 |
66.94 |
18.30 |
25.97 |
30.16 |
|
ASIA |
11,536 |
19,090 |
29,220 |
18.06 |
20.28 |
25.85 |
153.29 |
182.58 |
226.45 |
257.47 |
41.65 |
59.12 |
60.59 |
|
EUROPE |
23,915 |
30,581 |
23,401 |
37.44 |
32.48 |
20.70 |
-2.15 |
89.78 |
109.45 |
83.95 |
9.55 |
13.39 |
11.70 |
|
OCEANIA |
784 |
831 |
951 |
1.23 |
0.88 |
0.84 |
21.30 |
139.60 |
120.96 |
110.99 |
14.06 |
15.25 |
19.82 |
|
WORLD |
63,882 |
94,148 |
113,044 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
79.96 |
84.44 |
104.97 |
102.92 |
15.17 |
23.25 |
27.85 |
|